Episode 2: Navigating Subprime Auto Credit Risk

Deep-subprime lending has notably expanded in the nonbank auto space, reaching $38.9 billion outstanding as of June. Additionally, subprime auto defaults reached $1.8 billion in June, making up about 80% of all defaults in the market. In this episode of The Roadmap, Michael Vogan, automobile economist in the credit analytics department at Moody's Analytics, details a presentation he developed on subprime auto credit, including how heightened competition and better analytical capabilities for risk modeling and repossession activity have contributed to the rise in defaults. Vogan also offers insight into where subprime loans are most concentrated geographically, how the recent hurricanes are expected to affect the auto finance market, and why he thinks payment problems are a function of underwriting policy. Featuring Michael Vogan, Automobile Economist in the Credit Analytics Department at Moody's Analytics.