“GiveWell may have made 1 billion dollars of harmful grants, and Ambitious Impact incubated 8 harmful organisations via increasing factory-farming?” by Vasco Grilo🔸

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The views expressed here are my own, not those of my employers or people who provided feedback. Summary I investigate whether saving human lives globally, and in China, India and Nigeria may be harmful accounting for the meat-eater problem, i.e. the nearterm increase in farmed animal suffering caused by increasing income or population. I estimate a random person globally, and in China, India and Nigeria in 2022 caused 15.5, 34.6, 5.17 and 2.31 times as much suffering to poultry birds and farmed aquatic animals as the person's happiness. Moreover, I expect the meat-eater problem in those countries to become worse in the nearterm as their real gross domestic product (real GDP) per capita increases. So my results suggest extending human lives there is harmful in the nearterm. GiveWell has made 1.09 billion dollars of grants impacting people in the countries I mentioned. Ambitious Impact has incubated 8 organisations whose 1st target country was one I mentioned, and [...] ---Outline:(00:17) Summary(02:59) Introduction(03:21) Methods(06:50) Results(07:07) Discussion(07:10) Meat-eater problem(12:05) Suggestions(15:41) Carbon and farmed animal welfare footprint(18:15) AcknowledgementsThe original text contained 4 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: December 22nd, 2024 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/FqioYEr97eoCQMxhk/givewell-may-have-made-1-billion-dollars-of-harmful-grants --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.